Ten days in, Mirzapur: The Movie has crossed Rs 181.25 crore nett at the Indian box office, according to trade estimates compiled by Pinkvilla. The film added Rs 13.25 crore on its second Sunday, taking its second weekend total to Rs 36.25 crore.

On paper, that's a solid number for any film in its tenth day of release. The Ali Fazal, Pankaj Tripathi and Divyenndu starrer is still comfortably in super-hit territory. But the shape of that second weekend has trade watchers scratching their heads.

The drop from opening weekend to second weekend comes in at 60 per cent, which counts as a decent hold by usual standards, especially given how big the opening was in the first place. What's odd is what happened within the weekend itself. Sunday numbers came in lower than Saturday's, a reversal that rarely shows up for a film performing this well. Weekends are supposed to build, not shrink.

Ganesh Chaturthi is the obvious explanation, and it probably explains some of it. Maharashtra, where the festival pulls crowds away from multiplexes and into pandals, would naturally see softer walk-ins over that stretch. Except the northern circuits, where the festival barely registers, also had what Pinkvilla described as an ordinary trend over the same two days. So Ganesh Chaturthi alone doesn't add up as a full explanation, and nobody's quite sure what else is dragging the Saturday-Sunday curve down.

Here's why the wobble matters beyond just this weekend's math. After a strong Monday hold last week, industry trackers had all but pencilled in a Rs 250 crore lifetime finish for the film. That number now looks a lot harder to reach. The film has already banked enough in its first week to cushion any damage from this soft patch, but the lifetime ceiling has clearly come down a notch.

The film remains, by any measure, a super hit. Whether it climbs into blockbuster territory depends entirely on how it holds through the third week, particularly once the festival period clears out of the way and normal weekday patterns return. If the drop was purely Ganesh Chaturthi noise, expect a bounce-back over the coming days. If it wasn't, the film's run from here gets a lot more interesting to track.

Either way, the next seven days will tell the real story. Pinkvilla's figures are trade estimates rather than certified numbers, and the studio hasn't put out its own tally yet, so the final word on where Mirzapur: The Movie lands is still some distance away.