Street Fighter hits North American screens on October 16, and the box office is already bracing for a fight. Jason Momoa’s martial arts spectacle isn’t just another video game adaptation — it’s the year’s most anticipated one, with a $30 million to $40 million opening weekend projected by Box Office Mojo. That’s not bad. But it’s not close to the benchmark set by The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which raked in $429.8 million domestically and remains the biggest video game film of 2026. Even its $131.7 million opening weekend looms large. Can Street Fighter beat that? Unlikely. But can it outpace Mortal Kombat II’s $79.8 million haul? Yes, possibly. And if it crosses $100 million, it’ll edge past Resident Evil too. That’s the real target: not to top Mario, but to prove video game films aren’t just kid-friendly anymore. With an ensemble cast including Noah Centineo, Andrew Koji, Joe Anoa’i, Vidyut Jammwal, and Eric André, this isn’t a solo act. It’s a tournament. The story centers on Ryu and Ken Masters, pulled back into the World Warrior Tournament in 1993, where they must confront each other. And their pasts. Paramount Pictures is betting on momentum. The question now isn’t whether it’ll open strong. It’s whether it can stay strong. Because in 2026, the only thing bigger than the games is the expectation.
Photo via Koimoi - Box OfficeStreet Fighter’s Opening Weekend Is Set. Now Comes the Real Test.
Jason Momoa’s Street Fighter aims for $40M opening—but the real goal is beating Mortal Kombat II, not Mario.
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